ไทม์ไลน์ข่าวสาร forex

เสาร์, มิถุนายน 22, 2024

On Friday, the NZD/USD extended its losing streak to three days.

Kiwi tallies a three-day losing streak, end the week on a negative note with the pair stabilizing at 0.6115.NZD/USD outlook continues to skew bearish as bulls fail to maintain upward traction.Bucking the bearish trend, a break above 0.6150, the position of the 20-day SMA, is vital.On Friday, the NZD/USD extended its losing streak to three days. Despite an attempt to rally which took the pair to a high of 0.6140, the bulls were unable to return to the positive side and the pair stabilized at 0.6115 The unsuccessful attempt to maintain gains solidifies the increasing bearish sentiment for the Kiwi. The currency pair must climb past the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) situated at 0.6150 to brighten the otherwise negative outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the NZD/USD pair on the daily chart locates at 49, hinting at a shift of momentum towards more bearishness. Despite this downward shift, the RSI remains near the neutral zone. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to increase its red bars, indicating an amplified seller presence in the market. NZD/USD daily chart The NZD/USD finds immediate support near the 0.6100 level. Beneath that, additional support resides at the 100-day SMA at 0.6070 and the 200-day SMA at 0.6060. These levels could offer a robust defense should the pair extend its downside. A breach below these SMA convergence points might signal an intensifying sell-off scenario. Conversely, the first resistance remains around the 20-day SMA level at 0.6150. Higher resistances are found at the 0.6170 and 0.6200 levels. A decisive breakout above these levels could possibly indicate an end to the current bearish market sentiment and start to favor the bulls.   NZD/USD Overview Today last price 0.6118 Today Daily Change -0.0002 Today Daily Change % -0.03 Today daily open 0.612   Trends Daily SMA20 0.6148 Daily SMA50 0.6055 Daily SMA100 0.607 Daily SMA200 0.6065   Levels Previous Daily High 0.6149 Previous Daily Low 0.6111 Previous Weekly High 0.6222 Previous Weekly Low 0.6099 Previous Monthly High 0.6171 Previous Monthly Low 0.5875 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6126 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6134 Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6104 Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6089 Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6066 Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6142 Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6165 Daily Pivot Point R3 0.618    

Silver price dropped sharply and snapped two days of gains amid firm US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar.

Silver declines 3.86% sparked by firm US Treasury yields and a strong US Dollar.Technical outlook shows a bearish engulfing pattern with RSI turning bearish, indicating potential further losses.Key support levels: 50-DMA at $29.09, $29.00, and MTD low of $28.66, with deeper support at 100-DMA of $26.60.Key resistance levels: June 7 high at $31.54, $32.00, and YTD high of $32.51.Silver price dropped sharply and snapped two days of gains amid firm US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar. The grey metal trades at $29.53 , down 3.86% XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook Silver is still bullish biased though joining today and yesterday price action completed a ‘bearish engulfing,’ chart pattern. Momentum shifted in sellers’ favor as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned bearish and opened the door for further losses. That said, XAG/USD's first support would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at $29.09; it will expose $29.00. Breaching this level could lead to the MTD low of $28.66, ahead of a potential drop towards the 100-DMA at $26.60. On the flip side, if XAG/USD resumes its uptrend, the next resistance level is the June 7 high of $31.54. Clearing this level would target $32.00 before challenging the year-to-date (YTD) high of $32.51. XAG/USD Price Action – Daily ChartXAG/USD Overview Today last price 29.55 Today Daily Change -1.18 Today Daily Change % -3.84 Today daily open 30.73   Trends Daily SMA20 30.26 Daily SMA50 29.11 Daily SMA100 26.68 Daily SMA200 24.92   Levels Previous Daily High 30.79 Previous Daily Low 29.71 Previous Weekly High 30.26 Previous Weekly Low 28.66 Previous Monthly High 32.51 Previous Monthly Low 26.02 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 30.38 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 30.12 Daily Pivot Point S1 30.03 Daily Pivot Point S2 29.33 Daily Pivot Point S3 28.95 Daily Pivot Point R1 31.11 Daily Pivot Point R2 31.49 Daily Pivot Point R3 32.2    

GBP/USD closed Friday at a fresh five-week low of 1.2622, marking the Cable's third straight down week.

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The Bank of England’s (BoE) midweek rate hold did little to spark confidence in the GBP, and a late-week upswing in US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) kicked broad-market risk appetite lower, lifting the US Dollar heading into the trading week’s close. UK Retail Sales lurched higher to 2.9% MoM in May, snubbing the forecast move down to 1.5% from the previous month’s revised -1.8% contraction. UK PMIs also came in mixed, with the S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI for June rising to 51.4 against the forecast 51.3 and the previous month’s 51.2. The Services PMI contracted sharply to a seven–month low of 51.2, entirely missing the forecast uptick to 53.0 from 52.9.Forecasting the Coming Week: The US PCE will unlikely move the Fed’s dialOn the US side, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June rose to 51.7 versus the forecast downtick to 51.0 from the previous 51.3. The Services PMI also thumped expectations, rising to almost a two-year high of 55.1 versus the expected softening to 53.7 from 54.8. With upbeat US economic data crimping odds of an early rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), market sentiment backed up into the safe haven Greenback on Friday. UK economic remains thin heading into next week, leaving Sterling traders to wait for next Friday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print. US economic data prints are also relegated to mid-tier releases early next week, with the US’ own GDP update slated for next Thursday. GBP/USD technical outlook GBP/USD has locked in a third straight down week as the Sterling extends a slump against the Greenback. The pair fell to a five-week low, setting a fresh low for the week early Friday at 1.2622. Cable tumbled -0.92% peak-to-trough from the week’s peak bids near 1.2740. Daily candlesticks are facing a steepening bearish decline after a rejection from a supply zone near the 1.2800 handle. Candles are on pace to fall back to the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2586. GBP/USD hourly chart GBP/USD daily chart Pound Sterling FAQs What is the Pound Sterling? The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, aka ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE). How do the decisions of the Bank of England impact on the Pound Sterling? The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects. How does economic data influence the value of the Pound? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall. How does the Trade Balance impact the Pound? Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance. GBP/USD Overview Today last price 1.2644 Today Daily Change -0.0014 Today Daily Change % -0.11 Today daily open 1.2658   Trends Daily SMA20 1.2741 Daily SMA50 1.262 Daily SMA100 1.264 Daily SMA200 1.2555   Levels Previous Daily High 1.2724 Previous Daily Low 1.2655 Previous Weekly High 1.286 Previous Weekly Low 1.2657 Previous Monthly High 1.2801 Previous Monthly Low 1.2446 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2681 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2698 Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2634 Daily Pivot Point S2 1.261 Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2565 Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2703 Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2748 Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2772    

On Friday, the NZD/JPY cross extended advances and established multi-year highs above 97.50.

The cross continued its upward journey, reaching new cycle highs above 97.50, levels not seen since July 2007.The daily chart shows intense bullish sentiment, with the Yen weakening against its peers.Indicators are approaching overbought conditions which might limit the upside.On Friday, the NZD/JPY cross extended advances and established multi-year highs above  97.50. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), now at 96.60 continued as firm support at the beginning of the week, where buyers ward off sellers' strivings to breach this level. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) for NZD/JPY is currently at 68, indicating an increase from Thursday's value and overall upward momentum. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for today shows decreasing red bars, implying decreased selling pressure. The RSI near 70 should flash caution to investors as it approaches the overbought threshold. NZD/JPY daily chart The bulls' tenacity to sustain their positions above the 20-day SMA remains unshaken. This, combined with the near-overbought daily technical indicators, reinforces the superior technical vim of the Kiwi against the Yen. The consecutive failed attempts from the sellers to breach the 96.30 point, a strong support, led to the bulls' momentum which catalyzed the surge to fresh highs. For the following trading sessions, the cross may oscillate between the immediate support at 97.00 and the resistance target at 98.00. Investors need to keep an eye on a possible break above the mentioned range or a fall below the 20-day SMA mark which could signal a deeper correction.   NZD/JPY Overview Today last price 97.78 Today Daily Change 0.52 Today Daily Change % 0.53 Today daily open 97.26   Trends Daily SMA20 96.5 Daily SMA50 94.45 Daily SMA100 92.9 Daily SMA200 91.11   Levels Previous Daily High 97.31 Previous Daily Low 96.82 Previous Weekly High 97.25 Previous Weekly Low 95.62 Previous Monthly High 96.74 Previous Monthly Low 90.83 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 97.12 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 97.01 Daily Pivot Point S1 96.94 Daily Pivot Point S2 96.64 Daily Pivot Point S3 96.45 Daily Pivot Point R1 97.44 Daily Pivot Point R2 97.62 Daily Pivot Point R3 97.93    
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การเตือนความเสี่ยง: การเทรดมีความเสี่ยง เงินทุนของคุณมีความเสี่ยง Exinity Limited มีการกำกับดูแลโดย FSC (มอริเชียส)